Geopolitics

Geopolitics

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 27

1%

January 28

3%

January 27

1%

January 28

3%

$109m Vol.

Monthly
Next Country US Strikes card icon

Next Country US Strikes

Somalia

100%

Iran

<1%

Somalia

100%

Iran

<1%

NEW

•

$3m Vol.

Monthly
US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 25

<1%

January 26

<1%

January 25

<1%

January 26

<1%

$22m Vol.

Monthly
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

8%

chance

$15m Vol.

Monthly
US/Israel strikes Iran by...? card icon

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

January 31

11%

February 15

33%

January 31

11%

February 15

33%

$7m Vol.

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

January 28

35%

January 29

57%

January 28

35%

January 29

57%

$5m Vol.

Daily
Will Israel strike Gaza on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

January 25

<1%

January 26

1%

January 25

<1%

January 26

1%

$2m Vol.

Daily
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? card icon

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

13%

chance

$8m Vol.

Monthly
Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time? card icon

Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time?

No Prison Time

3%

<5 Years

<1%

No Prison Time

3%

<5 Years

<1%

$2m Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027? card icon

Trump out as President before 2027?

16%

chance

$2m Vol.

Monthly