Gaza predictions & odds

·
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

Gaza

Politics

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

40%

February 7

$310k Vol.

$161k today

$30.7k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

Gaza

Politics

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

59%

February 5

$349k Vol.

$150k today

$19.4k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Gaza

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

17%

$348k Vol.

$58.0k today

$46.0k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Gaza

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

32%

$2m Vol.

$40.8k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Gaza

Politics

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

52%

June 30

$2m Vol.

$11.6k Liq.

392

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Gaza

Politics

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

13%

March 31, 2026

$281k Vol.

$3.5k Liq.

6

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

Gaza

Politics

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

23%

Russia

$646k Vol.

$94.0k Liq.

119

Ends in about 2 months

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Gaza

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

40%

$334k Vol.

$20.6k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?

Gaza

Politics

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?

40%

$114k Vol.

$8.5k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Gaza

Politics

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

52%

June 30, 2026

$1m Vol.

$12.1k Liq.

145

Ends in 5 months

Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?

Gaza

Politics

Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?

6%

$5.1k Vol.

$6.3k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Gaza

Middle East

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

41%

June 30

$4m Vol.

$6.4k Liq.

981

Ends in 5 months

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?

Gaza

Politics

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?

4%

$17.3k Vol.

$2.4k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Gaza

Hamas

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

7%

$62.7k Vol.

$6.1k Liq.

6

Ends in 5 months

Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?

Gaza

Politics

Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?

13%

$256k Vol.

$3.6k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Gaza

Politics

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

39%

Somaliland

$153k Vol.

$18.0k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Gaza

Middle East

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

44%

December 31

$1.5k Vol.

$1.9k Liq.

1

Ends in 11 months

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Gaza

Politics

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

24%

$1.2k Vol.

$468 Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Gaza

Middle East

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

79%

$10.9k Vol.

$1.4k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Gaza

Politics

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

19%

$2.7k Vol.

$4.7k Liq.

Ends in 11 months