Middle East Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Geopolitics

Geopolitics

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 27

1%

January 28

3%

January 27

1%

January 28

3%

$109m Vol.

Monthly
Next Country US Strikes card icon

Next Country US Strikes

Somalia

100%

Yemen

<1%

Somalia

100%

Yemen

<1%

NEW

•

$4m Vol.

Monthly
US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 25

<1%

January 26

<1%

January 25

<1%

January 26

<1%

$23m Vol.

Monthly
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

8%

chance

$15m Vol.

Monthly
US/Israel strikes Iran by...? card icon

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

January 31

11%

February 15

35%

January 31

11%

February 15

35%

$7m Vol.

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

January 28

42%

January 29

57%

January 28

42%

January 29

57%

$5m Vol.

Daily
Will Israel strike Gaza on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

January 25

<1%

January 26

2%

January 25

<1%

January 26

2%

$3m Vol.

Daily
Iran Strike on Israel by...? card icon

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

January 31

5%

February 28

38%

January 31

5%

February 28

38%

$820k Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

<1%

chance

$130k Vol.

Monthly
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...? card icon

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

January 31

6%

March 31, 2026

49%

January 31

6%

March 31, 2026

49%

$2m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

16%

chance

$3m Vol.

Monthly
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday? card icon

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

14%

chance

NEW

•

$126k Vol.

Weekly