Iran predictions & odds

·
US strikes Iran by...?

Iran

Politics

US strikes Iran by...?

45%

June 30

$167m Vol.

$8m today

$2m Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

US next strikes Iran on...?

Iran

Politics

US next strikes Iran on...?

76%

No strike by February 28

$5m Vol.

$1m today

$673k Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Next Country US Strikes

Iran

Politics

Next Country US Strikes

100%

Somalia

$2m Vol.

$778k today

$410k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Iran

Middle East

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

7%

$5m Vol.

$574k today

$736k Liq.

Ends in 24 days

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

Iran

Politics

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

64%

December 31

$10m Vol.

$290k today

$155k Liq.

318

Ends in 11 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Iran

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

14%

$10m Vol.

$288k today

$374k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

Iran

Politics

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

89%

$629k Vol.

$253k today

$40.3k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Iran

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

10%

$4m Vol.

$144k today

$205k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Iran

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

19%

$474k Vol.

$130k today

$35.8k Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?

Iran

Politics

Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?

77%

$118k Vol.

$96.0k today

$8.3k Liq.

18

Ends in 24 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Iran

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

25%

$4m Vol.

$66.1k today

$111k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Iran

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

33%

$2m Vol.

$55.8k today

$44.7k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by...?

Iran

Politics

U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by...?

49%

June 30

$101k Vol.

$51.2k today

$18.1k Liq.

4

Ends in 5 months

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Iran

Politics

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

23%

$123k Vol.

$50.5k today

$21.6k Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Iran

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

40%

$2m Vol.

$114k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?

Iran

Politics

US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?

19%

$34.5k Vol.

$8.1k Liq.

12

Ends in 1 day

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?

Iran

Politics

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?

47%

June 30, 2026

$5m Vol.

$40.0k Liq.

187

Ends in about 2 months

Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?

Iran

Politics

Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?

6%

March 31

$7m Vol.

$71.1k Liq.

242

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Iran

Politics

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

47%

$84.4k Vol.

$21.5k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Iran

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

31%

$4m Vol.

$146k Liq.

6

Ends in 11 months