Geopolitics

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

chance

$15m Vol.

Monthly

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

January 28

43%

January 29

57%

January 28

43%

January 29

57%

$5m Vol.

Daily

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

January 25

<1%

January 26

January 25

<1%

January 26

$3m Vol.

Daily

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

Russia

27%

Ukraine

18%

Russia

27%

Ukraine

18%

NEW

•

$555k Vol.

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

January 31

March 31, 2026

49%

January 31

March 31, 2026

49%

$2m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

48%

chance

$2m Vol.

Monthly

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

40%

chance

$69k Vol.

Monthly

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

March 31

20%

June 30

28%

March 31

20%

June 30

28%

$4m Vol.

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

16%

chance

$49k Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?

34%

chance

$84k Vol.

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? card icon

Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?

25%

chance

$118k Vol.

Will Israel strike Iraq by January 31?

chance

$54k Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

57%

chance

$287k Vol.

Monthly

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...? card icon

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?

15%

chance

$45k Vol.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?

12%

chance

$241k Vol.

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

27%

chance

NEW

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?

chance

$15k Vol.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland

39%

Azerbaijan

32%

Somaliland

39%

Azerbaijan

32%

$153k Vol.

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

February 1

55%

February 2

51%

February 1

55%

February 2

51%

NEW

Daily

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

69%

chance

$11k Vol.

Gaza Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Geopolitics

Geopolitics