Israel predictions & odds

·
US next strikes Iran on...?

Israel

Politics

US next strikes Iran on...?

77%

No strike by February 28

$5m Vol.

$1m today

$542k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Israel

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

10%

$4m Vol.

$187k today

$220k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

Israel

Politics

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

55%

December 31

$10m Vol.

$184k today

$148k Liq.

308

Ends in 12 days

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

Israel

Politics

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

40%

February 7

$310k Vol.

$161k today

$30.7k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

Israel

Politics

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

59%

February 5

$349k Vol.

$150k today

$19.4k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Israel

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

43%

$2m Vol.

$115k today

$90.9k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Israel

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

31%

$4m Vol.

$115k today

$147k Liq.

6

Ends in 11 months

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Israel

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

19%

$9m Vol.

$79.4k today

$285k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?

Israel

Politics

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?

44%

June 30, 2026

$5m Vol.

$65.0k today

$37.0k Liq.

187

Ends in about 2 months

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Israel

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

17%

$348k Vol.

$58.0k today

$46.0k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Israel

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

27%

$4m Vol.

$52.5k today

$94.8k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Israel

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

21%

$1m Vol.

$78.5k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Israel

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

32%

$2m Vol.

$40.8k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

Israel

Politics

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

17%

February 28

$1m Vol.

$15.4k Liq.

27

Ends in 25 days

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Israel

Politics

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

46%

$58.7k Vol.

$14.4k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel

Politics

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

52%

June 30

$2m Vol.

$11.6k Liq.

392

Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?

Israel

Politics

Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?

30%

$108k Vol.

$6.8k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Israel

Politics

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

13%

March 31, 2026

$281k Vol.

$3.5k Liq.

6

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

Israel

Politics

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

23%

Russia

$646k Vol.

$94.0k Liq.

119

Ends in about 2 months

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

Israel

Politics

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

26%

December 31

$516k Vol.

$54.3k Liq.

Ends in 11 months