Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM 67%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 15%
Lecornu - France PM 4.7%
Takaichi - Japan PM 4.1%
$3,061,782 Vol.
$3,061,782 Vol.
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$146,705 Vol.
67%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$146,705 Vol.
67%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$122,456 Vol.
15%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$122,456 Vol.
15%
Lecornu - France PM
$114,559 Vol.
5%
Lecornu - France PM
$114,559 Vol.
5%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$121,206 Vol.
4%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$121,206 Vol.
4%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$106,629 Vol.
2%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$106,629 Vol.
2%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$124,749 Vol.
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$124,749 Vol.
1%
Trump - USA President
$155,856 Vol.
1%
Trump - USA President
$155,856 Vol.
1%
Putin - Russia President
$111,161 Vol.
1%
Putin - Russia President
$111,161 Vol.
1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$104,026 Vol.
1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$104,026 Vol.
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$107,052 Vol.
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$107,052 Vol.
1%
Starmer - UK PM
$93,726 Vol.
1%
Starmer - UK PM
$93,726 Vol.
1%
None before 2027
$126,344 Vol.
1%
None before 2027
$126,344 Vol.
1%
Macron - France President
$83,925 Vol.
1%
Macron - France President
$83,925 Vol.
1%
Petro - Colombia President
$105,049 Vol.
1%
Petro - Colombia President
$105,049 Vol.
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$97,018 Vol.
<1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$97,018 Vol.
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$101,805 Vol.
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$101,805 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$149,090 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$149,090 Vol.
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$107,278 Vol.
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$107,278 Vol.
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$88,720 Vol.
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$88,720 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$126,899 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$126,899 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$106,467 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$106,467 Vol.
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$100,260 Vol.
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$100,260 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$86,817 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$86,817 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$132,568 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$132,568 Vol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$98,416 Vol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$98,416 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$121,118 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$121,118 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$121,885 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$121,885 Vol.
<1%
Rules
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 5, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM 67%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 15%
Lecornu - France PM 4.7%
Takaichi - Japan PM 4.1%
$3,061,782 Vol.
$3,061,782 Vol.
Schoof - Netherlands PM
67%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
15%
Lecornu - France PM
5%
Takaichi - Japan PM
4%
Orbán - Hungary PM
2%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
1%
Trump - USA President
1%
Putin - Russia President
1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
1%
Starmer - UK PM
1%
None before 2027
1%
Macron - France President
1%
Petro - Colombia President
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
<1%
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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