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Ukraine Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

<1%

chance

$23m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

15%

chance

$12m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

7%

chance

NEW

•

$547k Vol.

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by…? card icon

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by…?

January 31

4%

February 28

47%

January 31

4%

February 28

47%

$3m Vol.

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on...? card icon

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on...?

January 25

<1%

January 26

<1%

January 25

<1%

January 26

<1%

NEW

•

$364k Vol.

Daily

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

26%

chance

$301k Vol.

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? card icon

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

January 31, 2026

1%

February 28, 2026

36%

January 31, 2026

1%

February 28, 2026

36%

$4m Vol.

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? card icon

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

11%

chance

$107k Vol.

Daily

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

44%

chance

$8m Vol.

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...? card icon

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

January 31

5%

February 28

32%

January 31

5%

February 28

32%

$406k Vol.

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...? card icon

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

January 31

1%

February 28

15%

January 31

1%

February 28

15%

$1m Vol.

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? card icon

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

7%

chance

$256k Vol.

Will Russia capture Lyman by...? card icon

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

January 31

2%

February 28

35%

January 31

2%

February 28

35%

$1m Vol.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31? card icon

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

15%

chance

$198k Vol.

Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31? card icon

Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?

10%

chance

$127k Vol.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31? card icon

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?

1%

chance

$225k Vol.

Will Trump meet with Putin again by...? card icon

Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?

18%

chance

$152k Vol.

Where will Trump and Putin meet next? card icon

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

No meeting by June 30

47%

Gulf country

16%

No meeting by June 30

47%

Gulf country

16%

$525k Vol.

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...? card icon

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?

January 31

2%

February 28

32%

January 31

2%

February 28

32%

$4m Vol.

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...? card icon

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

January 31

<1%

March 31

7%

January 31

<1%

March 31

7%

$1m Vol.

The World's Largest Prediction Market™

Popular Ukraine markets

Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?Will Russia capture Rodynske by...?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?Will Russia enter Toretske by...?Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ukraine election called by...?U.S. nuclear test by...?Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?Nuclear weapon detonation by...?Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

New Ukraine markets

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on...?Will Russia capture Hryshyne by...?Vidbir 2026 Winner Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by February 28?Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?

Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

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