Next leader out of power before 2027?
斯霍夫 - 荷兰首相 74%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 7%
Takaichi - Japan PM 3.0%
Lecornu - France PM 2.9%
$3,192,346 Vol.
$3,192,346 Vol.
斯霍夫 - 荷兰首相
$149,122 Vol.
74%
斯霍夫 - 荷兰首相
$149,122 Vol.
74%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$129,285 Vol.
7%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$129,285 Vol.
7%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$124,567 Vol.
3%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$124,567 Vol.
3%
Lecornu - France PM
$117,055 Vol.
3%
Lecornu - France PM
$117,055 Vol.
3%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$116,168 Vol.
3%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$116,168 Vol.
3%
Trump - USA President
$160,391 Vol.
1%
Trump - USA President
$160,391 Vol.
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$110,131 Vol.
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$110,131 Vol.
1%
Putin - Russia President
$113,493 Vol.
1%
Putin - Russia President
$113,493 Vol.
1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$106,518 Vol.
1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$106,518 Vol.
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$149,570 Vol.
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$149,570 Vol.
1%
None before 2027
$127,955 Vol.
1%
None before 2027
$127,955 Vol.
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$93,458 Vol.
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$93,458 Vol.
1%
Petro - Colombia President
$108,920 Vol.
1%
Petro - Colombia President
$108,920 Vol.
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$104,394 Vol.
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$104,394 Vol.
1%
Starmer - UK PM
$95,313 Vol.
<1%
Starmer - UK PM
$95,313 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$166,169 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$166,169 Vol.
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$108,143 Vol.
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$108,143 Vol.
<1%
Macron - France President
$84,882 Vol.
<1%
Macron - France President
$84,882 Vol.
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$102,659 Vol.
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$102,659 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$126,078 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$126,078 Vol.
<1%
默茨 - 德国总理
$127,952 Vol.
<1%
默茨 - 德国总理
$127,952 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$139,014 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$139,014 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$107,279 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$107,279 Vol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$111,152 Vol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$111,152 Vol.
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$102,268 Vol.
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$102,268 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$122,342 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$122,342 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$88,069 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$88,069 Vol.
<1%
Rules
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 5, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Next leader out of power before 2027?
斯霍夫 - 荷兰首相 74%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 7%
Takaichi - Japan PM 3.0%
Lecornu - France PM 2.9%
$3,192,346 Vol.
$3,192,346 Vol.
斯霍夫 - 荷兰首相
74%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
7%
Takaichi - Japan PM
3%
Lecornu - France PM
3%
Orbán - Hungary PM
3%
Trump - USA President
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
1%
Putin - Russia President
1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
1%
None before 2027
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
1%
Petro - Colombia President
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
1%
Starmer - UK PM
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
<1%
Macron - France President
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
<1%
默茨 - 德国总理
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
<1%
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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