Geopolitics

US strikes Iran by...?

January 27

January 28

January 27

January 28

$109m Vol.

Monthly

Next Country US Strikes

Somalia

100%

Yemen

<1%

Somalia

100%

Yemen

<1%

NEW

•

$4m Vol.

Monthly

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 25

<1%

January 26

<1%

January 25

<1%

January 26

<1%

$23m Vol.

Monthly

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

chance

$45m Vol.

Daily

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

chance

$15m Vol.

Monthly

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

January 31

11%

February 15

35%

January 31

11%

February 15

35%

$7m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

chance

$9m Vol.

Monthly

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

19%

chance

$2m Vol.

Daily

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

25%

chance

$8m Vol.

Daily

Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?

January 31

March 31

January 31

March 31

$6m Vol.

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

January 31

February 28

38%

January 31

February 28

38%

$820k Vol.

Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?

99%

chance

$88k Vol.

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?

<1%

chance

$5m Vol.

Monthly

Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

<1%

chance

$130k Vol.

Monthly

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

16%

chance

$3m Vol.

Monthly

Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?

chance

$1m Vol.

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

14%

chance

NEW

•

$126k Vol.

Weekly

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

36%

chance

$4m Vol.

Daily

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

48%

chance

$2m Vol.

Monthly

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

36%

chance

$3m Vol.

Monthly

Iran Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Geopolitics

Geopolitics