Economy

Economy

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

<1%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

<1%

$588m Vol.

Monthly
How long will the Government Shutdown last? card icon

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

1+ day

79%

3+ days

75%

1+ day

79%

3+ days

75%

NEW

•

$665k Vol.

Fed decision in March? card icon

Fed decision in March?

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

15%

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

15%

$5m Vol.

Monthly
2nd Largest company end of January? card icon

2nd Largest company end of January?

Alphabet

97%

Apple

3%

Alphabet

97%

Apple

3%

$3m Vol.

Monthly
Largest Company end of January? card icon

Largest Company end of January?

NVIDIA

99%

Alphabet

1%

NVIDIA

99%

Alphabet

1%

$12m Vol.

Monthly
ECB Interest Rates: February 2026 card icon

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

1%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

1%

$568k Vol.

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? card icon

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

7%

1 (25 bps)

12%

0 (0 bps)

7%

1 (25 bps)

12%

$3m Vol.

3rd largest company end of January? card icon

3rd largest company end of January?

Apple

92%

Microsoft

4%

Apple

92%

Microsoft

4%

$1m Vol.

Monthly
What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee? card icon

What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

January 27

1%

January 28

7%

January 27

1%

January 28

7%

$452k Vol.

Fed rate cut by...? card icon

Fed rate cut by...?

January Meeting

1%

March Meeting

18%

January Meeting

1%

March Meeting

18%

$599k Vol.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? card icon

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.4%

76%

4.5%

-

4.4%

76%

4.5%

-

$65k Vol.

Weekly
Bank of Brazil decision in January? card icon

Bank of Brazil decision in January?

No Change

81%

Cut

19%

No Change

81%

Cut

19%

$241k Vol.

Largest Company End of February? card icon

Largest Company End of February?

NVIDIA

90%

Alphabet

8%

NVIDIA

90%

Alphabet

8%

NEW

•

$129k Vol.

Monthly
Fed decision in April? card icon

Fed decision in April?

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

24%

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

24%

$932k Vol.

Monthly
Fed decisions (Dec-Mar) card icon

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

Cut–Pause–Pause

85%

Cut–Pause–Cut

14%

Cut–Pause–Pause

85%

Cut–Pause–Cut

14%

$545k Vol.

Daily