Ukraine predictions & odds

·
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Ukraine

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

4%

$2m Vol.

$281k today

$450k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ukraine

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

12%

$13m Vol.

$277k today

$799k Liq.

20,361

Ends in about 2 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ukraine

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

46%

$8m Vol.

$151k today

$534k Liq.

5,422

Ends in 11 months

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on...?

Ukraine

Politics

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on...?

23%

February 7

$232k Vol.

$145k today

$16.3k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ukraine

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

26%

$487k Vol.

$120k today

$111k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

Ukraine

Politics

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

41%

March 31

$1m Vol.

$56.8k Liq.

68

Ends in about 2 months

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ukraine

Politics

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

23%

$1m Vol.

$44.6k Liq.

89

Ends in 11 months

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

Ukraine

Politics

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

89%

December 31, 2026

$5m Vol.

$68.6k Liq.

342

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

Ukraine

Politics

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

5%

June 30

$199k Vol.

$99.8k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine

Politics

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

23%

March 31

$1m Vol.

$15.2k Liq.

76

Ends in 5 months

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?

Ukraine

Politics

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?

4%

$288k Vol.

$12.5k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Nuclear weapon detonation by...?

Ukraine

Politics

Nuclear weapon detonation by...?

15%

Before 2027

$239k Vol.

$30.0k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?

Ukraine

Geopolitics

Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?

59%

Dopropillia

$441k Vol.

$187k Liq.

24

Ends in 5 months

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

Ukraine

Politics

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

77%

No meeting before 2027

$421k Vol.

$91.3k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28?

Ukraine

Politics

Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28?

20%

$8.3k Vol.

$7.0k Liq.

3

Ends in 25 days

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by…?

Ukraine

Politics

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by…?

58%

March 31

$3m Vol.

$43.7k Liq.

699

Will Russia capture Sumy by...?

Ukraine

Putin

Will Russia capture Sumy by...?

17%

March 31, 2027

$514k Vol.

$10.4k Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 year

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

Ukraine

Politics

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

12%

$213k Vol.

$16.8k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ukraine

Politics

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

29%

$381k Vol.

$40.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

Ukraine

Politics

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

60%

March 31

$567k Vol.

$16.8k Liq.

167

Ends in about 2 months