Geopolitics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

chance

$25m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

chance

$896k Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

15%

chance

$12m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

47%

chance

$8m Vol.

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

29%

chance

$346k Vol.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?

<1%

chance

$238k Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

29%

chance

$332k Vol.

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

January 31

<1%

February 28

16%

January 31

<1%

February 28

16%

$1m Vol.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

18%

chance

$203k Vol.

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

January 31

March 31

11%

January 31

March 31

11%

$153k Vol.

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

27%

chance

$89k Vol.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

32%

chance

$35k Vol.

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

28%

chance

$42k Vol.

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

26%

chance

$261k Vol.

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

40%

chance

$72k Vol.

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

25%

chance

$19k Vol.

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

June 30

10%

December 31

36%

June 30

10%

December 31

36%

$58k Vol.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

38%

chance

$88k Vol.

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

20%

chance

NEW

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

12%

chance

$34k Vol.

Monthly

Ukraine Peace Deal Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Geopolitics

Geopolitics