Khamenei predictions & odds

·
Iran Strike on Israel by...?

Khamenei

Politics

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

39%

February 28

$823k Vol.

$57.1k today

$43.2k Liq.

15

Ends in about 1 month

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Khamenei

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

25%

$8m Vol.

$161k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Khamenei

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

35%

$4m Vol.

$76.8k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Khamenei

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

17%

$3m Vol.

$175k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Khamenei

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

36%

$3m Vol.

$165k Liq.

6

Ends in 11 months

Odds of Khamenei out by February over__ in January?

Khamenei

Politics

Odds of Khamenei out by February over__ in January?

6%

>30%

$195k Vol.

$46.3k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Iran strike on US military by January 31?

Khamenei

Politics

Iran strike on US military by January 31?

5%

$234k Vol.

$12.6k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Khamenei

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

51%

$2m Vol.

$120k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Khamenei

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

<1%

$130k Vol.

$30.7k Liq.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Khamenei

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

24%

$1m Vol.

$63.0k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Israel strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?

Khamenei

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?

<1%

$126k Vol.

$15.0k Liq.

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

Khamenei

Politics

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

27%

$33.8k Vol.

$5.0k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Iran strike on Qatar by January 31?

Khamenei

Politics

Iran strike on Qatar by January 31?

47%

February 28

$87.6k Vol.

$7.2k Liq.

4

Ends in 3 days

Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Khamenei

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

4%

$2.3k Vol.

$24.4k Liq.

Ends in 2 days

U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by...?

Khamenei

Politics

U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by...?

67%

June 30

$30.5k Vol.

$11.3k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

Khamenei

Politics

US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

18%

US Strikes Iran

$34.8k Vol.

$3.1k Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Khamenei

Politics

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

56%

$28.1k Vol.

$9.0k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by January 31?

Khamenei

Politics

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by January 31?

4%

$10.2k Vol.

$3.1k Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?

Khamenei

Politics

Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?

1%

$8.4k Vol.

$4.4k Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days