World predictions & odds

·
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

World

Politics

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

100%

$30m Vol.

$15m today

$615k Liq.

US strikes Iran by...?

World

Politics

US strikes Iran by...?

49%

June 30

$165m Vol.

$5m today

$1m Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

US next strikes Iran on...?

World

Politics

US next strikes Iran on...?

74%

No strike by February 28

$5m Vol.

$1m today

$491k Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Portugal Presidential Election

World

Politics

Portugal Presidential Election

99%

António José Seguro (IND)

$129m Vol.

$637k today

$12m Liq.

1,618

Ends in 5 days

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

World

Politics

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

65%

People’s Party (PPLE)

$4m Vol.

$402k today

$244k Liq.

121

Ends in 4 days

Next Country US Strikes

World

Politics

Next Country US Strikes

100%

Somalia

$2m Vol.

$326k today

$309k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?

World

Politics

Next leader out of power before 2027?

91%

Schoof - Netherlands PM

$5m Vol.

$314k today

$311k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

World

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

13%

$13m Vol.

$235k today

$755k Liq.

20,361

Ends in about 2 months

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

World

Politics

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

98%

Sanae Takaichi

$1m Vol.

$225k today

$250k Liq.

15

Ends in 4 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

World

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

4%

$2m Vol.

$208k today

$450k Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

World

Politics

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

98%

VVD + CDA + D66

$32m Vol.

$197k today

$1m Liq.

323

Ends in 9 months

Next French Presidential Election

World

Politics

Next French Presidential Election

29%

Jordan Bardella

$4m Vol.

$196k today

$1m Liq.

231

Ends in about 1 year

Brazil Presidential Election

World

Global Elections

Brazil Presidential Election

53%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$15m Vol.

$175k today

$750k Liq.

1,966

Ends in 8 months

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

World

Politics

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

64%

December 31

$10m Vol.

$165k today

$143k Liq.

315

Ends in 11 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

World

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

11%

$4m Vol.

$164k today

$203k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

World

Politics

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

83%

$600k Vol.

$147k today

$24.6k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on...?

World

Politics

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on...?

23%

February 6

$267k Vol.

$139k today

$45.0k Liq.

Ends in 24 days

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

World

Politics

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

24%

$297k Vol.

$135k today

$29.3k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

World

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

46%

$8m Vol.

$135k today

$561k Liq.

5,422

Ends in 11 months

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

World

Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

13%

$8m Vol.

$118k today

$497k Liq.

71

Ends in 11 months