World predictions & odds

·
US strikes Iran by...?

World

Politics

US strikes Iran by...?

49%

June 30

$175m Vol.

$8m today

$1m Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

X banned in U.K. by March 31?

World

Politics

X banned in U.K. by March 31?

5%

$2m Vol.

$2m today

$5.8k Liq.

11

Ends in about 2 months

US next strikes Iran on...?

World

Politics

US next strikes Iran on...?

72%

No strike by February 28

$7m Vol.

$1m today

$792k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Portugal Presidential Election

World

Politics

Portugal Presidential Election

99%

António José Seguro (IND)

$130m Vol.

$873k today

$14m Liq.

1,622

Ends in 3 days

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

World

Politics

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

71%

People’s Party (PPLE)

$5m Vol.

$653k today

$330k Liq.

149

Ends in 3 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

World

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

17%

$10m Vol.

$596k today

$422k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?

World

Politics

Next leader out of power before 2027?

85%

Schoof - Netherlands PM

$6m Vol.

$484k today

$313k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

World

Politics

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

63%

December 31

$11m Vol.

$479k today

$154k Liq.

334

Ends in 10 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

World

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

3%

$2m Vol.

$349k today

$529k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

World

Politics

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

95%

$959k Vol.

$343k today

$32.1k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

World

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

10%

$14m Vol.

$285k today

$763k Liq.

20,361

Ends in about 2 months

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

World

Politics

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

99%

Sanae Takaichi

$2m Vol.

$228k today

$323k Liq.

15

Ends in 3 days

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

World

Politics

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

49%

February 6

$701k Vol.

$210k today

$31.9k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Brazil Presidential Election

World

Global Elections

Brazil Presidential Election

53%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$15m Vol.

$210k today

$735k Liq.

2,014

Ends in 8 months

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

World

Elections

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

56%

Péter Magyar

$6m Vol.

$209k today

$420k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

World

Politics

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

98%

VVD + CDA + D66

$32m Vol.

$190k today

$1m Liq.

323

Ends in 9 months

2026 Winter Olympics: Most Gold Medals

World

Sports

2026 Winter Olympics: Most Gold Medals

65%

Norway

$1m Vol.

$170k today

$433k Liq.

17

Ends in 17 days

Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?

World

Politics

Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?

83%

$277k Vol.

$162k today

$15.6k Liq.

50

Ends in 23 days

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

World

Politics

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

71%

February 5

$551k Vol.

$160k today

$13.8k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

World

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

25%

$4m Vol.

$138k today

$98.6k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months