Global Elections Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarke...

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$595m Vol.

$5m today

$25m Liq.

470

Ends in almost 3 years

32%

Gavin Newsom

$595m Vol.

$5m today

$25m Liq.

470

Ends in almost 3 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Global Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$252m Vol.

$4m today

$18m Liq.

620

Ends in almost 3 years

26%

JD Vance

$252m Vol.

$4m today

$18m Liq.

620

Ends in almost 3 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Global Elections

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$245m Vol.

$4m today

$12m Liq.

234

Ends in almost 3 years

50%

J.D. Vance

$245m Vol.

$4m today

$12m Liq.

234

Ends in almost 3 years

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

Global Elections

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

$4m Vol.

$411k today

$261k Liq.

127

Ends in 4 days

68%

People’s Party (PPLE)

$4m Vol.

$411k today

$261k Liq.

127

Ends in 4 days

Portugal Presidential Election

Global Elections

Portugal Presidential Election

$129m Vol.

$407k today

$13m Liq.

1,619

Ends in 4 days

99%

António José Seguro (IND)

$129m Vol.

$407k today

$13m Liq.

1,619

Ends in 4 days

Next French Presidential Election

Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

$5m Vol.

$204k today

$1m Liq.

235

Ends in about 1 year

28%

Jordan Bardella

$5m Vol.

$204k today

$1m Liq.

235

Ends in about 1 year

Brazil Presidential Election

Global Elections

Brazil Presidential Election

$15m Vol.

$196k today

$734k Liq.

1,966

Ends in 8 months

53%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$15m Vol.

$196k today

$734k Liq.

1,966

Ends in 8 months

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

Global Elections

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

$2m Vol.

$138k today

$300k Liq.

15

Ends in 4 days

98%

Sanae Takaichi

$2m Vol.

$138k today

$300k Liq.

15

Ends in 4 days

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

$6m Vol.

$131k today

$407k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

54%

Péter Magyar

$6m Vol.

$131k today

$407k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

Global Elections

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

$32m Vol.

$97.5k today

$1m Liq.

323

Ends in 9 months

98%

VVD + CDA + D66

$32m Vol.

$97.5k today

$1m Liq.

323

Ends in 9 months

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election Winner

$369k Vol.

$87.1k today

$153k Liq.

33

Ends in 2 months

47%

Rafael López Aliaga

$369k Vol.

$87.1k today

$153k Liq.

33

Ends in 2 months

Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round

Global Elections

Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round

$1m Vol.

$82.6k today

$214k Liq.

10

Ends in 4 days

49%

Seguro 30-40%

$1m Vol.

$82.6k today

$214k Liq.

10

Ends in 4 days

Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner

Global Elections

Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner

$561k Vol.

$74.4k today

$265k Liq.

89

Ends in 8 days

92%

Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)

$561k Vol.

$74.4k today

$265k Liq.

89

Ends in 8 days

Japan General Election Winner?

Global Elections

Japan General Election Winner?

$805k Vol.

$65.4k today

$368k Liq.

7

Ends in 4 days

99%

LDP

$805k Vol.

$65.4k today

$368k Liq.

7

Ends in 4 days

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Global Elections

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

$67.7k Vol.

$44.9k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

48%

Lebanese Forces (LF)

$67.7k Vol.

$44.9k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Global Elections

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

$2m Vol.

$255k Liq.

78

Ends in 8 months

70%

United Russia (ER)

$2m Vol.

$255k Liq.

78

Ends in 8 months

Colombia Presidential Election

Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election

$3m Vol.

$288k Liq.

170

Ends in 5 months

40%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$3m Vol.

$288k Liq.

170

Ends in 5 months

Next Prime Minister of Thailand

Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Thailand

$340k Vol.

$85.4k Liq.

12

Ends in 11 months

71%

Anutin Charnvirakul

$340k Vol.

$85.4k Liq.

12

Ends in 11 months

Paris Mayoral Election

Global Elections

Paris Mayoral Election

$2m Vol.

$238k Liq.

224

Ends in about 2 months

67%

Emmanuel Grégoire

$2m Vol.

$238k Liq.

224

Ends in about 2 months

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

Global Elections

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

$1m Vol.

$32.3k Liq.

302

87%

60-65%

$1m Vol.

$32.3k Liq.

302

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