Global Elections Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarke...

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$593m Vol.

$5m today

$26m Liq.

469

Ends in almost 3 years

33%

Gavin Newsom

$593m Vol.

$5m today

$26m Liq.

469

Ends in almost 3 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Global Elections

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$243m Vol.

$4m today

$13m Liq.

233

Ends in almost 3 years

49%

J.D. Vance

$243m Vol.

$4m today

$13m Liq.

233

Ends in almost 3 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Global Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$250m Vol.

$4m today

$16m Liq.

619

Ends in almost 3 years

26%

JD Vance

$250m Vol.

$4m today

$16m Liq.

619

Ends in almost 3 years

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

Global Elections

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

$4m Vol.

$330k today

$220k Liq.

125

Ends in 4 days

65%

People’s Party (PPLE)

$4m Vol.

$330k today

$220k Liq.

125

Ends in 4 days

Portugal Presidential Election

Global Elections

Portugal Presidential Election

$129m Vol.

$316k today

$12m Liq.

1,619

Ends in 5 days

99%

António José Seguro (IND)

$129m Vol.

$316k today

$12m Liq.

1,619

Ends in 5 days

Next French Presidential Election

Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

$4m Vol.

$220k today

$1m Liq.

231

Ends in about 1 year

29%

Jordan Bardella

$4m Vol.

$220k today

$1m Liq.

231

Ends in about 1 year

Brazil Presidential Election

Global Elections

Brazil Presidential Election

$15m Vol.

$183k today

$742k Liq.

1,966

Ends in 8 months

53%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$15m Vol.

$183k today

$742k Liq.

1,966

Ends in 8 months

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

Global Elections

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

$32m Vol.

$156k today

$1m Liq.

323

Ends in 9 months

98%

VVD + CDA + D66

$32m Vol.

$156k today

$1m Liq.

323

Ends in 9 months

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

Global Elections

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

$1m Vol.

$148k today

$324k Liq.

15

Ends in 4 days

99%

Sanae Takaichi

$1m Vol.

$148k today

$324k Liq.

15

Ends in 4 days

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

$6m Vol.

$135k today

$395k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

54%

Péter Magyar

$6m Vol.

$135k today

$395k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Japan General Election Winner?

Global Elections

Japan General Election Winner?

$803k Vol.

$94.4k today

$339k Liq.

7

Ends in 4 days

99%

LDP

$803k Vol.

$94.4k today

$339k Liq.

7

Ends in 4 days

Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round

Global Elections

Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round

$992k Vol.

$90.6k today

$177k Liq.

8

Ends in 4 days

47%

Seguro 30-40%

$992k Vol.

$90.6k today

$177k Liq.

8

Ends in 4 days

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election Winner

$337k Vol.

$61.8k today

$141k Liq.

33

Ends in 2 months

44%

Rafael López Aliaga

$337k Vol.

$61.8k today

$141k Liq.

33

Ends in 2 months

Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner

Global Elections

Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner

$524k Vol.

$252k Liq.

75

Ends in 8 days

94%

Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)

$524k Vol.

$252k Liq.

75

Ends in 8 days

Colombia Senate Election Winner

Global Elections

Colombia Senate Election Winner

$334k Vol.

$121k Liq.

6

Ends in about 1 month

86%

Pacto Histórico (PH)

$334k Vol.

$121k Liq.

6

Ends in about 1 month

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Global Elections

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

$2m Vol.

$246k Liq.

75

Ends in 8 months

68%

United Russia (ER)

$2m Vol.

$246k Liq.

75

Ends in 8 months

Paris Mayoral Election

Global Elections

Paris Mayoral Election

$2m Vol.

$233k Liq.

224

Ends in about 2 months

68%

Emmanuel Grégoire

$2m Vol.

$233k Liq.

224

Ends in about 2 months

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

Global Elections

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

$1m Vol.

$32.1k Liq.

302

69%

60-65%

$1m Vol.

$32.1k Liq.

302

Next President of Vietnam

Global Elections

Next President of Vietnam

$5m Vol.

$285k Liq.

173

92%

Tô Lâm

$5m Vol.

$285k Liq.

173

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Global Elections

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$2m Vol.

$298k Liq.

79

Ends in 9 months

44%

R Senate, D House

$2m Vol.

$298k Liq.

79

Ends in 9 months

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