Portugal Presidential Election

Name: Portugal Presidential Election
Start: 2025-08-29T19:18:28.935224Z
End: 2026-02-08T14:00:00Z

António José Seguro (IND) 97.4%

André Ventura (CH) 2.7%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) <1%

Rui Moreira (IND) <1%

$125,056,707 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

António José Seguro (IND)
$3,893,631 Vol.
97%

André Ventura (CH)
$12,816,432 Vol.
3%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$3,830,892 Vol.
<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)
$3,992,546 Vol.
<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)
$3,784,567 Vol.
<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)
$3,216,574 Vol.
<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$337,960 Vol.
<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$5,991,703 Vol.
<1%

André Pestana (IND)
$1,871,840 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$771,360 Vol.
<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$9,106,551 Vol.
<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$3,475,265 Vol.
<1%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$4,101,538 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$8,690,905 Vol.
<1%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$2,906,664 Vol.
<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$4,131,516 Vol.
<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$7,068,436 Vol.
<1%

António Filipe (PCP)
$7,184,026 Vol.
<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$18,894,337 Vol.
<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$8,447,448 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$4,089,574 Vol.
<1%

Jorge Pinto
$6,453,061 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Aug 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Volume

$125,056,707

End Date

Feb 8, 2026

Created At

Aug 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND) 97.4%

André Ventura (CH) 2.7%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) <1%

Rui Moreira (IND) <1%

$125,056,707 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

António José Seguro (IND)

$3,893,631 Vol.

97%

André Ventura (CH)

$12,816,432 Vol.

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$3,830,892 Vol.

<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)

$3,992,546 Vol.

<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)

$3,784,567 Vol.

<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)

$3,216,574 Vol.

<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)

$337,960 Vol.

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$5,991,703 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$1,871,840 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$771,360 Vol.

<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$9,106,551 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,475,265 Vol.

<1%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$4,101,538 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$8,690,905 Vol.

<1%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$2,906,664 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$4,131,516 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$7,068,436 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$7,184,026 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$18,894,337 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$8,447,448 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$4,089,574 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$6,453,061 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$125,056,707

End Date

Feb 8, 2026

Created At

Aug 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?

43%

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?

25%

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

69%

Beware of external links.

Portugal Presidential Election