Geopolitics Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

US strikes Iran by...?

Geopolitics

US strikes Iran by...?

$175m Vol.

$8m today

$2m Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

49%

June 30

$175m Vol.

$8m today

$2m Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

US next strikes Iran on...?

Geopolitics

US next strikes Iran on...?

$7m Vol.

$1m today

$777k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

72%

No strike by February 28

$7m Vol.

$1m today

$777k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Geopolitics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

$6m Vol.

$822k today

$677k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

7%

$6m Vol.

$822k today

$677k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Geopolitics

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$16m Vol.

$613k today

$1m Liq.

153

Ends in 11 months

69%

Delcy Rodríguez

$16m Vol.

$613k today

$1m Liq.

153

Ends in 11 months

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Geopolitics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

$10m Vol.

$596k today

$393k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

17%

$10m Vol.

$596k today

$393k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$5m Vol.

$484k today

$317k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

85%

Schoof - Netherlands PM

$5m Vol.

$484k today

$317k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

Geopolitics

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

$11m Vol.

$479k today

$152k Liq.

334

Ends in 10 days

63%

December 31

$11m Vol.

$479k today

$152k Liq.

334

Ends in 10 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Geopolitics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

$2m Vol.

$349k today

$520k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

3%

$2m Vol.

$349k today

$520k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

Geopolitics

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

$959k Vol.

$343k today

$31.3k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

95%

$959k Vol.

$343k today

$31.3k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Geopolitics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$14m Vol.

$285k today

$762k Liq.

20,361

Ends in about 2 months

10%

$14m Vol.

$285k today

$762k Liq.

20,361

Ends in about 2 months

Where will the US & Iran meet in person?

Geopolitics

Where will the US & Iran meet in person?

$281k Vol.

$216k today

$48.3k Liq.

38

Ends in 8 days

80%

Oman

$281k Vol.

$216k today

$48.3k Liq.

38

Ends in 8 days

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

Geopolitics

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

$700k Vol.

$210k today

$29.5k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

49%

February 6

$700k Vol.

$210k today

$29.5k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

US x Iran diplomatic meeting in person by...?

Geopolitics

US x Iran diplomatic meeting in person by...?

$259k Vol.

$208k today

$14.2k Liq.

73

Ends in 8 days

78%

February 13

$259k Vol.

$208k today

$14.2k Liq.

73

Ends in 8 days

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by…?

Geopolitics

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by…?

$4m Vol.

$205k today

$46.6k Liq.

760

99%

March 31

$4m Vol.

$205k today

$46.6k Liq.

760

Who will Trump talk to in February?

Geopolitics

Who will Trump talk to in February?

$238k Vol.

$164k today

$38.2k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

73%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$238k Vol.

$164k today

$38.2k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?

Geopolitics

Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?

$277k Vol.

$162k today

$15.1k Liq.

50

Ends in 23 days

83%

$277k Vol.

$162k today

$15.1k Liq.

50

Ends in 23 days

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

Geopolitics

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

$550k Vol.

$160k today

$13.8k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

70%

February 5

$550k Vol.

$160k today

$13.8k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time?

Geopolitics

Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time?

$2m Vol.

$143k today

$122k Liq.

46

Ends in 11 months

94%

30+ Years

$2m Vol.

$143k today

$122k Liq.

46

Ends in 11 months

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Geopolitics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

$4m Vol.

$138k today

$97.8k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

25%

$4m Vol.

$138k today

$97.8k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Geopolitics

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

$617k Vol.

$132k today

$76.4k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

19%

$617k Vol.

$132k today

$76.4k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

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