Market icon

Nothing Ever Happens: February

Nothing

61% chance
NEW

Rules

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- US strikes Iran
- Israel strikes Iran
- Gov Shutdown for 10+ days
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- André Ventura wins Portugal Presidential Election
- LDP does not win most seats in Japan General Election
- Gold (GC) hits ↑ $8,000
- Bitcoin hits ↓ 60,000
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran
- Insurrection Act invoked

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Feb.pdf
Volume
$7,104
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Created At
Feb 2, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US strikes Iran - Israel strikes Iran - Gov Shutdown for 10+ days - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - André Ventura wins Portugal Presidential Election - LDP does not win most seats in Japan General Election - Gold (GC) hits ↑ $8,000 - Bitcoin hits ↓ 60,000 - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - Insurrection Act invoked Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Feb.pdf

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Nothing Ever Happens: February

Nothing

61% chance
NEW

About

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- US strikes Iran
- Israel strikes Iran
- Gov Shutdown for 10+ days
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- André Ventura wins Portugal Presidential Election
- LDP does not win most seats in Japan General Election
- Gold (GC) hits ↑ $8,000
- Bitcoin hits ↓ 60,000
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran
- Insurrection Act invoked

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Feb.pdf
Volume
$7,104
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Created At
Feb 2, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US strikes Iran - Israel strikes Iran - Gov Shutdown for 10+ days - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - André Ventura wins Portugal Presidential Election - LDP does not win most seats in Japan General Election - Gold (GC) hits ↑ $8,000 - Bitcoin hits ↓ 60,000 - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - Insurrection Act invoked Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Feb.pdf

Beware of external links.