How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
4 36.5%
2 15.3%
5 15.2%
3 15%
$802,788 Vol.
$802,788 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
1
$51,096 Vol.
3%
1
$51,096 Vol.
3%
2
$264,699 Vol.
15%
2
$264,699 Vol.
15%
3
$84,404 Vol.
15%
3
$84,404 Vol.
15%
4
$119,588 Vol.
37%
4
$119,588 Vol.
37%
5
$20,234 Vol.
15%
5
$20,234 Vol.
15%
6
$12,664 Vol.
4%
6
$12,664 Vol.
4%
7
$26,715 Vol.
7%
7
$26,715 Vol.
7%
8
$20,193 Vol.
3%
8
$20,193 Vol.
3%
9
$46,087 Vol.
4%
9
$46,087 Vol.
4%
10
$8,611 Vol.
3%
10
$8,611 Vol.
3%
11
$12,732 Vol.
3%
11
$12,732 Vol.
3%
12
$41,773 Vol.
<1%
12
$41,773 Vol.
<1%
13
$8,736 Vol.
<1%
13
$8,736 Vol.
<1%
14
$34,044 Vol.
<1%
14
$34,044 Vol.
<1%
15+
$12,903 Vol.
1%
15+
$12,903 Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Nov 13, 2025, 10:52 AM ET
Volume
$802,788End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 10:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
4 36.5%
2 15.3%
5 15.2%
3 15%
$802,788 Vol.
$802,788 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
1
$51,096 Vol.
3%
2
$264,699 Vol.
15%
3
$84,404 Vol.
15%
4
$119,588 Vol.
37%
5
$20,234 Vol.
15%
6
$12,664 Vol.
4%
7
$26,715 Vol.
7%
8
$20,193 Vol.
3%
9
$46,087 Vol.
4%
10
$8,611 Vol.
3%
11
$12,732 Vol.
3%
12
$41,773 Vol.
<1%
13
$8,736 Vol.
<1%
14
$34,044 Vol.
<1%
15+
$12,903 Vol.
1%
About
Volume
$802,788End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 10:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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