World Events

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 25

<1%

January 26

<1%

January 25

<1%

January 26

<1%

$23m Vol.

Monthly

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

chance

$15m Vol.

Monthly

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

January 31

10%

February 15

34%

January 31

10%

February 15

34%

$7m Vol.

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

January 28

46%

January 29

56%

January 28

46%

January 29

56%

$5m Vol.

Daily

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

January 26

January 27

January 26

January 27

$3m Vol.

Daily

Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?

99%

chance

$103k Vol.

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

January 31

February 28

38%

January 31

February 28

38%

$821k Vol.

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?

<1%

chance

$5m Vol.

Monthly

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

25%

chance

$8m Vol.

Daily

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

35%

chance

$4m Vol.

Daily

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

17%

chance

$3m Vol.

Monthly

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 2026

February 1

January 2026

February 1

NEW

•

$29k Vol.

Monthly

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

Russia

29%

Ukraine

17%

Russia

29%

Ukraine

17%

NEW

•

$557k Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

36%

chance

$3m Vol.

Monthly

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

January 31

March 31

17%

January 31

March 31

17%

$295k Vol.

Weekly

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

January 31

<1%

February 28

January 31

<1%

February 28

$772k Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

48%

chance

$2m Vol.

Monthly

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

January 31

March 31, 2026

48%

January 31

March 31, 2026

48%

$2m Vol.

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

March 31

21%

June 30

29%

March 31

21%

June 30

29%

$4m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

37%

chance

$69k Vol.

Monthly

Israel Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

World Events

World Events