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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$8m Vol.
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
Russia
29%
Ukraine
17%
NEW
$557k Vol.
China coup attempt before 2027?
9%
$69k Vol.
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
2%
$2m Vol.
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
18%
$614k Vol.
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
5%
$295k Vol.
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
6%
$524k Vol.
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
12%
$24k Vol.
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
40%
$94k Vol.
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
10%
$15k Vol.
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
$37k Vol.
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
<1.0%
3%
1.0–2.0%
4%
$14k Vol.
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
31%
$13k Vol.
DeepSeek V4 released by...?
January 31
March 31
93%
Will Trump visit China by...?
March 31, 2026
April 30, 2026
82%
$980k Vol.
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
$306k Vol.
Who will acquire TikTok?
Microsoft
Walmart
$903k Vol.
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
25%
$50k Vol.
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$459k Vol.
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