World Events

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

chance

$15m Vol.

Monthly

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

January 28

47%

January 29

56%

January 28

47%

January 29

56%

$5m Vol.

Daily

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

January 26

January 27

January 26

January 27

$3m Vol.

Daily

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

Russia

29%

Ukraine

17%

Russia

29%

Ukraine

17%

NEW

•

$557k Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

48%

chance

$2m Vol.

Monthly

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

January 31

March 31, 2026

48%

January 31

March 31, 2026

48%

$2m Vol.

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

March 31

21%

June 30

29%

March 31

21%

June 30

29%

$4m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

37%

chance

$69k Vol.

Monthly

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

13%

chance

$50k Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?

37%

chance

$87k Vol.

Will Israel strike Iraq by January 31?

chance

$55k Vol.

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? card icon

Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?

22%

chance

$118k Vol.

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...? card icon

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?

19%

chance

$45k Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

57%

chance

$288k Vol.

Monthly

Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?

12%

chance

$241k Vol.

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

February 1

52%

February 2

52%

February 1

52%

February 2

52%

NEW

Daily

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

27%

chance

NEW

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?

chance

$15k Vol.

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

February 1

February 2

31%

February 1

February 2

31%

NEW

Daily

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

69%

chance

$11k Vol.

Gaza Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

World Events

World Events