Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu 52%

Naftali Bennett 24%

Yair Lapid 4.5%

Gadi Eizenkot 4.3%

$780,395 Vol.

Rules

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$780,395
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu 52%

Naftali Bennett 24%

Yair Lapid 4.5%

Gadi Eizenkot 4.3%

$780,395 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$133,024 Vol.

52%

Naftali Bennett

$239,400 Vol.

24%

Yair Lapid

$21,485 Vol.

4%

Gadi Eizenkot

$21,735 Vol.

4%

Yair Golan

$46,030 Vol.

2%

Avigdor Lieberman

$112,908 Vol.

2%

Yossi Cohen

$28,222 Vol.

1%

Yariv Levin

$18,784 Vol.

1%

Benny Gantz

$11,915 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$10,459 Vol.

<1%

Ayelet Shaked

$3,587 Vol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$4,082 Vol.

<1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$115,302 Vol.

<1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$13,462 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$780,395
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Beware of external links.