Iran Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

World Events

World Events

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 27

<1%

January 28

2%

January 27

<1%

January 28

2%

$110m Vol.

Monthly
US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 25

<1%

January 26

<1%

January 25

<1%

January 26

<1%

$23m Vol.

Monthly
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

8%

chance

$15m Vol.

Monthly
US/Israel strikes Iran by...? card icon

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

January 31

10%

February 15

34%

January 31

10%

February 15

34%

$7m Vol.

Next Country US Strikes card icon

Next Country US Strikes

Somalia

82%

Iran

10%

Somalia

82%

Iran

10%

NEW

•

$71k Vol.

Monthly
Iran Strike on Israel by...? card icon

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

January 31

5%

February 28

38%

January 31

5%

February 28

38%

$821k Vol.

Will Khamenei leave Iran by...? card icon

Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?

January 31

1%

March 31

7%

January 31

1%

March 31

7%

$6m Vol.

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday? card icon

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

17%

chance

NEW

•

$128k Vol.

Weekly
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

17%

chance

$3m Vol.

Monthly
US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 2026

7%

February 1

3%

January 2026

7%

February 1

3%

NEW

•

$29k Vol.

Monthly
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

36%

chance

$3m Vol.

Monthly
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? card icon

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

January 31

2%

March 31

17%

January 31

2%

March 31

17%

$294k Vol.

Weekly