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Fed
Fed decision in January?
$38m Vol.
$8m today
$4m Liq.
1,369
Ends in about 1 month
74%
No change
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$71m Vol.
$2m today
$1m Liq.
229
Ends in about 1 year
53%
Kevin Hassett
Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?
$9m Vol.
$139k today
$282k Liq.
89
Ends in 12 days
92%
No announcement by December 31
Fed decision in March?
$530k Vol.
$56.9k today
$297k Liq.
418
Ends in 3 months
49%
25 bps decrease
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$1m Vol.
$721k Liq.
16
20%
2 (50 bps)
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
$83.7k Liq.
5
<1%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
$12m Vol.
$134k Liq.
420
1%
Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
$238k Vol.
$61.1k Liq.
1
45%
Cut–Pause–Pause
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$506k Vol.
$43.2k Liq.
15
76%
Cut–Cut–Pause
Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?
$473k Vol.
$63.4k Liq.
100%
Fed decision in April?
$441k Vol.
$284k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
62%
Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?
$6.4k Vol.
$17.7k Liq.
98%
June 30, 2026
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$10.2k Vol.
$9.9k Liq.
23%
Fed abolished in 2025?
$408k Vol.
$9.1k Liq.
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$960 Vol.
$2.6k Liq.
34%
3
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?
$1.3k Vol.
$28.5k Liq.
4.3%
Jerome Powell in jail in 2025
$21.6k Vol.
$8.2k Liq.
4
Fed rate cut by...?
$438 Vol.
$84.3k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
75%
June Meeting
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$4.0k Vol.
$20.8k Liq.
Ends in 12 months
11%
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)
$474 Vol.
$107k Liq.
26%
Pause–Cut–Pause
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