Economy Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

Fed decision in March?

Economy

Fed decision in March?

$54m Vol.

$7m today

$4m Liq.

418

Ends in about 1 month

91%

No change

$54m Vol.

$7m today

$4m Liq.

418

Ends in about 1 month

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

Economy

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

$21m Vol.

$6m today

$1m Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

2%

5+ days

$21m Vol.

$6m today

$1m Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Largest Company End of February?

Economy

Largest Company End of February?

$2m Vol.

$465k today

$561k Liq.

Ends in 24 days

77%

NVIDIA

$2m Vol.

$465k today

$561k Liq.

Ends in 24 days

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026

Economy

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026

$2m Vol.

$273k today

$44.3k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

100%

No change

$2m Vol.

$273k today

$44.3k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$4m Vol.

$125k today

$829k Liq.

34

Ends in 11 months

26%

3 (75 bps)

$4m Vol.

$125k today

$829k Liq.

34

Ends in 11 months

2nd Largest company end of February?

Economy

2nd Largest company end of February?

$343k Vol.

$110k today

$59.6k Liq.

Ends in 24 days

67%

Alphabet

$343k Vol.

$110k today

$59.6k Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Largest Company end of June?

Economy

Largest Company end of June?

$1m Vol.

$220k Liq.

79

Ends in 5 months

55%

NVIDIA

$1m Vol.

$220k Liq.

79

Ends in 5 months

Fed decision in April?

Economy

Fed decision in April?

$1m Vol.

$390k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

78%

No change

$1m Vol.

$390k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Fed Decision in June?

Economy

Fed Decision in June?

$124k Vol.

$286k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

46%

25 bps decrease

$124k Vol.

$286k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Economy

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

$299k Vol.

$35.6k Liq.

12

Ends in 11 months

34%

Tim Cook - Apple

$299k Vol.

$35.6k Liq.

12

Ends in 11 months

3rd largest company end of March?

Economy

3rd largest company end of March?

$107k Vol.

$33.8k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

64%

Apple

$107k Vol.

$33.8k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Bank of England decision in February?

Economy

Bank of England decision in February?

$288k Vol.

$58.6k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

100%

No change

$288k Vol.

$58.6k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Largest Company end of March?

Economy

Largest Company end of March?

$1m Vol.

$285k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

70%

NVIDIA

$1m Vol.

$285k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

2nd largest company end of March?

Economy

2nd largest company end of March?

$323k Vol.

$60.7k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

69%

Alphabet

$323k Vol.

$60.7k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

3rd largest company end of February?

Economy

3rd largest company end of February?

$598k Vol.

$40.3k Liq.

Ends in 24 days

73%

Apple

$598k Vol.

$40.3k Liq.

Ends in 24 days

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

Economy

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

$20m Vol.

$169k Liq.

219

29%

December 31, 2026

$20m Vol.

$169k Liq.

219

Bank of Japan Decision in March?

Economy

Bank of Japan Decision in March?

$239k Vol.

$23.2k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

79%

No change

$239k Vol.

$23.2k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

How many jobs added in January?

Economy

Macro Indicators

How many jobs added in January?

$129k Vol.

$23.2k Liq.

Ends in 2 days

29%

75k–100k

$129k Vol.

$23.2k Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Economy

Largest Company end of December 2026?

$473k Vol.

$328k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

44%

Alphabet

$473k Vol.

$328k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Economy

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

$27.9k Vol.

$5.4k Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

11%

$27.9k Vol.

$5.4k Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

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