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Which companies will the US take a stake in?

NEW
Dec 31, 2026

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.

An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$0
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

Beware of external links.

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Which companies will the US take a stake in?

$0.00 Vol.

Anduril

$0 Vol.

50%

Boeing

$0 Vol.

18%

TSMC

$0 Vol.

50%

OpenAI

$0 Vol.

41%

Palantir

$0 Vol.

26%

Nvidia

$0 Vol.

42%

GlobalFoundries

$0 Vol.

20%

Lockheed Martin

$0 Vol.

26%

TikTok US / Bytedance

$0 Vol.

18%

Freeport-McMoRan

$0 Vol.

29%

IonQ

$0 Vol.

17%

Micron

$0 Vol.

24%

D-Wave

$0 Vol.

21%

Anthropic

$0 Vol.

22%

Rigetti

$0 Vol.

24%

Eli Lilly

$0 Vol.

23%

Pfizer

$0 Vol.

24%

Samsung Electronics

$0 Vol.

26%

About

Volume
$0
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Beware of external links.