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Fed Rates
Fed decision in January?
$39m Vol.
$8m today
$4m Liq.
1,369
Ends in about 1 month
74%
No change
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$71m Vol.
$2m today
$1m Liq.
231
Ends in about 1 year
52%
Kevin Hassett
Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?
$9m Vol.
$139k today
$275k Liq.
90
Ends in 12 days
92%
No announcement by December 31
Fed decision in March?
$533k Vol.
$56.9k today
$294k Liq.
418
Ends in 3 months
49%
25 bps decrease
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$1m Vol.
$726k Liq.
16
21%
3 (75 bps)
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
$84.5k Liq.
5
<1%
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?
$71.0k Vol.
$21.9k Liq.
3
100%
ECB rate cut in 2025?
$305k Vol.
$16.3k Liq.
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
$12m Vol.
$135k Liq.
420
1%
Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
$238k Vol.
$69.5k Liq.
1
44%
Cut–Pause–Pause
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$506k Vol.
$45.2k Liq.
15
76%
Cut–Cut–Pause
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?
$5m Vol.
$113k Liq.
167
4.6%
Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?
$473k Vol.
$81.8k Liq.
Fed decision in April?
$444k Vol.
$291k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
64%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$5.4k Vol.
$21.2k Liq.
63%
4.3%
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in 2025?
$965k Vol.
$50.2k Liq.
17
4%
3.9%
Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?
$6.4k Vol.
$17.9k Liq.
98%
June 30, 2026
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$10.2k Vol.
$10.0k Liq.
23%
Fed abolished in 2025?
$408k Vol.
$9.1k Liq.
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$970 Vol.
$2.9k Liq.
26%
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