Fed decision in January?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed decision in January?

99%

No change

$591m Vol.

$55m today

$12m Liq.

1,369

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

47%

Rick Rieder

$272m Vol.

$3m today

$7m Liq.

784

Ends in 11 months

Fed decision in March?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed decision in March?

83%

No change

$5m Vol.

$302k today

$637k Liq.

418

Ends in about 2 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Jerome Powell

Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

25%

3 (75 bps)

$3m Vol.

$845k Liq.

30

Ends in 11 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Jerome Powell

Finance

Fed rate cut by...?

69%

June Meeting

$604k Vol.

$112k Liq.

3

Ends in 5 months

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Jerome Powell

Finance

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

76%

4.4%

$64.7k Vol.

$21.7k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Fed decision in April?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed decision in April?

72%

No change

$933k Vol.

$375k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Jerome Powell

Politics

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

88%

↓ 3.25%

$504k Vol.

$156k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

8%

May 14

$715k Vol.

$113k Liq.

28

Ends in 4 months

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Jerome Powell

Politics

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

53%

1

$35.0k Vol.

$22.6k Liq.

Fed Decision & Dissent Combo in January?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed Decision & Dissent Combo in January?

53%

No change, Dissents: <2

$24.3k Vol.

$14.1k Liq.

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

11%

$135k Vol.

$16.0k Liq.

33

Ends in 5 months

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

Jerome Powell

Finance

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

29%

4.4%

$65.4k Vol.

$19.8k Liq.

7

Ends in 2 months

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

Jerome Powell

Trump

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

13%

$32.7k Vol.

$3.1k Liq.

2

Ends in 3 days

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

1%

$107k Vol.

$22.8k Liq.

2

Ends in 3 days

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Jerome Powell

Politics

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

31%

3.0%

$79.1k Vol.

$185k Liq.

Ends in 10 months

March Fed Derivative: Pause or Cut favored on Jan 28?

Jerome Powell

Politics

March Fed Derivative: Pause or Cut favored on Jan 28?

99%

No change

$7.0k Vol.

$1.5k Liq.

1

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

Jerome Powell

Politics

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

91%

$5.3k Vol.

$2.3k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Jerome Powell

Fed

Fed rate hike in 2026?

11%

$25.8k Vol.

$24.7k Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Jerome Powell

Fed

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

62%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$30.0k Vol.

$124k Liq.

Ends in 3 months