Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?
$417,444 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Dopropillia
$63,509 Vol.
57%
Dopropillia
$63,509 Vol.
57%
Druzkhivka
$57,270 Vol.
34%
Druzkhivka
$57,270 Vol.
34%
Kramatorsk
$74,089 Vol.
26%
Kramatorsk
$74,089 Vol.
26%
Sloviansk
$89,935 Vol.
24%
Sloviansk
$89,935 Vol.
24%
Zaporizhia
$39,882 Vol.
14%
Zaporizhia
$39,882 Vol.
14%
Sumy
$51,877 Vol.
9%
Sumy
$51,877 Vol.
9%
Kherson
$23,894 Vol.
6%
Kherson
$23,894 Vol.
6%
Kharkiv
$16,987 Vol.
5%
Kharkiv
$16,987 Vol.
5%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Sloviansk (https://maps.app.goo.gl/Kx9MMw32sFDPUt8f9) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Sloviansk (https://maps.app.goo.gl/Kx9MMw32sFDPUt8f9) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Created At: Dec 26, 2025, 4:44 PM ET
Volume
$417,444End Date
Jun 30, 2026Created At
Dec 26, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?
$417,444 Vol.
Dopropillia
$63,509 Vol.
57%
Druzkhivka
$57,270 Vol.
34%
Kramatorsk
$74,089 Vol.
26%
Sloviansk
$89,935 Vol.
24%
Zaporizhia
$39,882 Vol.
14%
Sumy
$51,877 Vol.
9%
Kherson
$23,894 Vol.
6%
Kharkiv
$16,987 Vol.
5%
About
Volume
$417,444End Date
Jun 30, 2026Created At
Dec 26, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.