Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$21,237,172 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 70%

Kevin Warsh 16%

Christopher Waller 6.5%

Scott Bessent 3.4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,237,172
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

$21,237,172 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 70%

Kevin Warsh 16%

Christopher Waller 6.5%

Scott Bessent 3.4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$2,014,977 Vol.

70%

Kevin Warsh

$524,990 Vol.

16%

Christopher Waller

$794,670 Vol.

6%

Scott Bessent

$612,712 Vol.

3%

Rick Rieder

$497,896 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bowman

$414,506 Vol.

2%

Stephen Miran

$787,409 Vol.

1%

Jerome Powell

$421,469 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$497,934 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$414,782 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$971,714 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$264,477 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$478,413 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$451,700 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$2,610,464 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$904,427 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$490,113 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$2,676,475 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$1,888,893 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$971,525 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,398,822 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$276,477 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$727,277 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$105,017 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$40,271 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$21,237,172
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.