NEW
NEW
Feb 13, 2026
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?' market in the Event 'Fed decision in March?' (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-march-885) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes for any 2-hour period between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on February 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the '25 bps decrease' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/fed-cuts-25-bps-in-march-odds-15-by-february-13 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a relevant 2-hour window. This will display the 2-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.comThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?' market in the Event 'Fed decision in March?' (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-march-885) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes for any 2-hour period between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on February 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the '25 bps decrease' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/fed-cuts-25-bps-in-march-odds-15-by-february-13 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a relevant 2-hour window. This will display the 2-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the '25 bps decrease' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/fed-cuts-25-bps-in-march-odds-15-by-february-13 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a relevant 2-hour window. This will display the 2-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Created At: Feb 4, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$3End Date
Feb 13, 2026Created At
Feb 4, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...NEW
NEW
Feb 13, 2026
About
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?' market in the Event 'Fed decision in March?' (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-march-885) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes for any 2-hour period between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on February 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the '25 bps decrease' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/fed-cuts-25-bps-in-march-odds-15-by-february-13 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a relevant 2-hour window. This will display the 2-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.comThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?' market in the Event 'Fed decision in March?' (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-march-885) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes for any 2-hour period between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on February 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the '25 bps decrease' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/fed-cuts-25-bps-in-march-odds-15-by-february-13 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a relevant 2-hour window. This will display the 2-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the '25 bps decrease' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/fed-cuts-25-bps-in-march-odds-15-by-february-13 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a relevant 2-hour window. This will display the 2-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Volume
$3End Date
Feb 13, 2026Created At
Feb 4, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
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