Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Name: Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
Start: 2026-01-05T23:06:34.843109Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

NEW

Dec 31, 2026

June 30
$1,003 Vol.
33%

December 31
$437 Vol.
44%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any length of time by the June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Mahmoud Abbas will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of the Palestinian National Authority within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the Palestinian Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Created At: Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Volume

$1,440

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Beware of external links.

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

$1,440 Vol.

June 30

$1,003 Vol.

33%

December 31

$437 Vol.

44%

About

Volume

$1,440

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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82%

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Beware of external links.