Market icon

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

$37,980 Vol.

Google 63%

OpenAI 17%

xAI 12.1%

Anthropic 3.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$37,980
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 11:02 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

$37,980 Vol.

Market icon

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

Google 63%

OpenAI 17%

xAI 12.1%

Anthropic 3.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Google

$3,184 Vol.

63%

Market icon

OpenAI

$1,552 Vol.

17%

Market icon

xAI

$1,674 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Anthropic

$2,552 Vol.

4%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$1,379 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Alibaba

$7,059 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Baidu

$3,048 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Meituan

$3,189 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Moonshot

$1,377 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Z.ai

$11,007 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Mistral

$1,961 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$37,980
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 11:02 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.