Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$37,980 Vol.
Google 63%
OpenAI 17%
xAI 12.1%
Anthropic 3.5%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Google
$3,184 Vol.
63%

$3,184 Vol.
63%

OpenAI
$1,552 Vol.
17%

OpenAI
$1,552 Vol.
17%

xAI
$1,674 Vol.
12%

xAI
$1,674 Vol.
12%

Anthropic
$2,552 Vol.
4%

Anthropic
$2,552 Vol.
4%

DeepSeek
$1,379 Vol.
3%

DeepSeek
$1,379 Vol.
3%

Alibaba
$7,059 Vol.
2%

Alibaba
$7,059 Vol.
2%

Baidu
$3,048 Vol.
1%

Baidu
$3,048 Vol.
1%

Meituan
$3,189 Vol.
1%

Meituan
$3,189 Vol.
1%

Moonshot
$1,377 Vol.
<1%

Moonshot
$1,377 Vol.
<1%

Z.ai
$11,007 Vol.
<1%

Z.ai
$11,007 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$1,961 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$1,961 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Created At: Dec 2, 2025, 11:02 PM UTC
Volume
$37,980End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 11:02 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$37,980 Vol.
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Google 63%
OpenAI 17%
xAI 12.1%
Anthropic 3.5%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

$3,184 Vol.
63%

OpenAI
$1,552 Vol.
17%

xAI
$1,674 Vol.
12%

Anthropic
$2,552 Vol.
4%

DeepSeek
$1,379 Vol.
3%

Alibaba
$7,059 Vol.
2%

Baidu
$3,048 Vol.
1%

Meituan
$3,189 Vol.
1%

Moonshot
$1,377 Vol.
<1%

Z.ai
$11,007 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$1,961 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$37,980End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 11:02 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.


Beware of external links.
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