Market icon

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$100,135 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device.

Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Volume
$100,135
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
May 22, 2025, 10:48 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$100,135 Vol.

March 31, 2026

$47,110 Vol.

9%

December 31, 2026

$11,789 Vol.

56%

About

Volume
$100,135
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
May 22, 2025, 10:48 AM ET

Beware of external links.