Market icon

Which company has the third best AI model end of February?

Google 60%

DeepSeek 20.1%

Z.ai 7%

OpenAI 9%

NEW

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$1,932
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Created At
Jan 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Which company has the third best AI model end of February?

Google 60%

DeepSeek 20.1%

Z.ai 7%

OpenAI 9%

NEW
Market icon

Google

$616 Vol.

60%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$138 Vol.

20%

Market icon

Z.ai

$127 Vol.

7%

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OpenAI

$144 Vol.

9%

Market icon

xAI

$126 Vol.

12%

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Meituan

$127 Vol.

3%

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Anthropic

$128 Vol.

3%

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Baidu

$136 Vol.

8%

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Alibaba

$136 Vol.

8%

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Moonshot

$127 Vol.

3%

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Mistral

$127 Vol.

2%

About

Volume
$1,932
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Created At
Jan 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Beware of external links.