Science predictions & odds

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Human moon landing in 2026?

Science

Human moon landing in 2026?

$2m Vol.

$1m today

$31.5k Liq.

15

Ends in 11 months

6%

$2m Vol.

$1m today

$31.5k Liq.

15

Ends in 11 months

NASA Artemis II

Science

NASA Artemis II

$166k Vol.

$51.0k today

$15.3k Liq.

26

Ends in about 2 months

89%

March 31

$166k Vol.

$51.0k today

$15.3k Liq.

26

Ends in about 2 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

Science

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

$766k Vol.

$8.0k Liq.

7

64%

Successful splash down?

$766k Vol.

$8.0k Liq.

7

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$921k Vol.

$33.6k Liq.

11

Ends in 5 months

51%

8+

$921k Vol.

$33.6k Liq.

11

Ends in 5 months

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Science

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$108k Vol.

$8.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

31%

7-8

$108k Vol.

$8.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

$223k Vol.

$4.1k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

43%

$223k Vol.

$4.1k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Science

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

$2m Vol.

$203k Liq.

103

Ends in 11 months

9%

$2m Vol.

$203k Liq.

103

Ends in 11 months

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$635k Vol.

$48.0k Liq.

Ends in 8 days

53%

1.05–1.09ºC

$635k Vol.

$48.0k Liq.

Ends in 8 days

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 2 - Feb 8?

Science

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 2 - Feb 8?

$35.4k Vol.

$9.2k Liq.

Ends in 6 days

50%

0

$35.4k Vol.

$9.2k Liq.

Ends in 6 days

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

Science

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

$58.5k Vol.

$41.1k Liq.

3

Ends in almost 2 years

27%

2.0T+

$58.5k Vol.

$41.1k Liq.

3

Ends in almost 2 years

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

Science

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

$15.7k Vol.

$887 Liq.

Ends in 11 months

60%

$15.7k Vol.

$887 Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Science

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

$230k Vol.

$14.7k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

87%

March 31

$230k Vol.

$14.7k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Science

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$6m Vol.

$24.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

99%

↑1k

$6m Vol.

$24.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$444k Vol.

$35.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

32%

11–13

$444k Vol.

$35.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Measles cases in U.S. by February 28?

Science

Measles cases in U.S. by February 28?

$71.2k Vol.

$14.1k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

91%

800

$71.2k Vol.

$14.1k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes Jan 26 - Feb 1?

Science

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes Jan 26 - Feb 1?

$159k Vol.

$11.9k Liq.

97%

0

$159k Vol.

$11.9k Liq.

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Science

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$83.3k Vol.

$10.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

23%

$83.3k Vol.

$10.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 4, 2026?

Science

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 4, 2026?

$16.1k Vol.

$7.1k Liq.

Ends in 4 days

90%

60 - 70

$16.1k Vol.

$7.1k Liq.

Ends in 4 days

How many SpaceX launches in February?

Science

How many SpaceX launches in February?

$21.2k Vol.

$12.9k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

83%

11 or more

$21.2k Vol.

$12.9k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

New pandemic in 2026?

Science

New pandemic in 2026?

$62.9k Vol.

$22.9k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

14%

$62.9k Vol.

$22.9k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

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