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 Science polymarkets

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

1%

$7m Vol.

$56.6k today

$97.7k Liq.

328

Ends in 13 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

55%

2

$561k Vol.

$53.1k today

$21.7k Liq.

12

Ends in 12 days

Medline IPO Closing Market Cap

Science

Business

Medline IPO Closing Market Cap

<1%

No IPO before 2026

$121k Vol.

$7.2k Liq.

6

Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

Science

Culture

Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

1%

$790k Vol.

$43.0k Liq.

51

Ends in 12 days

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Science

Weather

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

6%

$126k Vol.

$39.9k Liq.

16

Ends in about 1 year

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

Science

Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

55%

1550–1599

$68.2k Vol.

$9.1k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Precipitation in NYC in December?

Science

Weather

Precipitation in NYC in December?

39%

<3"

$76.3k Vol.

$7.3k Liq.

5

Ends in 12 days

December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

Weather

December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

61%

1.00–1.04ºC

$76.9k Vol.

$35.8k Liq.

Ends in 22 days

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

Science

Culture

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

94%

$154k Vol.

$7.1k Liq.

10

Ends in 12 days

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

11%

$197k Vol.

$60.5k Liq.

21

Ends in about 1 year

5kt meteor strike in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

5kt meteor strike in 2025?

3%

$342k Vol.

$7.2k Liq.

19

Ends in 13 days

Measles cases in U.S. before 2026?

Science

Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. before 2026?

92%

2000

$1m Vol.

$10.1k Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Science

Weather

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

45%

$11.4k Vol.

$4.1k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

2025 December 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Science

Weather

2025 December 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

96%

4th or lower

$26.2k Vol.

$13.3k Liq.

Ends in 22 days

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Science

Weather

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

13%

$31.6k Vol.

$6.2k Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 year

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

99%

160-179

$445k Vol.

$39.2k Liq.

11

Ends in 13 days

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

Science

Politics

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

100%

$69.9k Vol.

$9.6k Liq.

20

Ends in 12 days

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Science

Weather

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

44%

December 31, 2025

$51.6k Vol.

$2.4k Liq.

1

Ends in 12 days

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Science

Weather

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

38%

2

$743k Vol.

$58.6k Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 year

New pandemic in 2025?

Science

Health

New pandemic in 2025?

<1%

$283k Vol.

$99.5k Liq.

Ends in 13 days