Market icon

Which company has the #2 AI model end of January? (Style Control On)

xAI 96.5%

Google 1.2%

OpenAI <1%

DeepSeek <1%

$101,453 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$101,453
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Which company has the #2 AI model end of January? (Style Control On)

xAI 96.5%

Google 1.2%

OpenAI <1%

DeepSeek <1%

$101,453 Vol.

Market icon

xAI

$16,416 Vol.

97%

Market icon

Google

$12,916 Vol.

1%

Market icon

OpenAI

$12,608 Vol.

1%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$7,731 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Anthropic

$8,638 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Mistral

$6,493 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Alibaba

$7,234 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Moonshot

$13,521 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Z.ai

$7,750 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Meituan

$8,148 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$101,453
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 5:50 PM ET

Beware of external links.