Market icon

Which company has the best AI model end of January?

$66,219 Vol.

Google 76%

OpenAI 12.0%

xAI 11.3%

Anthropic 2.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$66,219
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 11:02 PM UTC
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$66,219 Vol.

Market icon

Which company has the best AI model end of January?

Google 76%

OpenAI 12.0%

xAI 11.3%

Anthropic 2.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Google

$6,771 Vol.

76%

Market icon

OpenAI

$7,438 Vol.

12%

Market icon

xAI

$8,102 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Anthropic

$5,572 Vol.

3%

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Alibaba

$6,480 Vol.

1%

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DeepSeek

$5,180 Vol.

<1%

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Z.ai

$5,072 Vol.

<1%

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Moonshot

$5,036 Vol.

<1%

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Mistral

$5,097 Vol.

<1%

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Meituan

$6,125 Vol.

<1%

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Baidu

$5,347 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$66,219
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 11:02 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.