SpaceX predictions & odds

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SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

SpaceX

Elon Musk

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

84%

1T+

$2m Vol.

$83.6k today

$170k Liq.

37

Ends in almost 2 years

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

SpaceX

Elon Musk

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

73%

$X

$2m Vol.

$66.8k Liq.

103

Ends in almost 2 years

NASA Artemis II

SpaceX

Science

NASA Artemis II

78%

March 31

$218k Vol.

$16.2k Liq.

36

Ends in about 2 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

SpaceX

Science

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

28%

2.0T+

$83.2k Vol.

$48.3k Liq.

3

Ends in almost 2 years

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX

Elon Musk

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

83%

>$1T

$355k Vol.

$50.6k Liq.

6

Ends in almost 2 years

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

SpaceX

Elon Musk

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

19%

$29.2k Vol.

$5.6k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

SpaceX

Science

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

30%

7-8

$124k Vol.

$4.7k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How many SpaceX launches in February?

SpaceX

Science

How many SpaceX launches in February?

80%

11 or more

$34.7k Vol.

$15.0k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

SpaceX

Science

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

8%

$463k Vol.

$55.1k Liq.

12

Ends in 11 months

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

SpaceX

Science

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

42%

$7.4k Vol.

$2.5k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX

Science

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

88%

SpaceX

$22.2k Vol.

$94.1k Liq.

2

Ends in 11 months

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

SpaceX

Business

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

61%

Morgan Stanley

$306k Vol.

$35.4k Liq.

5

Ends in almost 2 years

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

SpaceX

Science

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

74%

SpaceX

$3.1k Vol.

$1.5k Liq.

1

Ends in almost 2 years

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

SpaceX

Science

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

2%

$53.9k Vol.

$12.8k Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX

Science

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

66%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$777k Vol.

$8.4k Liq.

7

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

SpaceX

Science

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

49%

$155k Vol.

$8.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

SpaceX

Finance

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

78%

December 31

$3.8k Vol.

$3.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

SpaceX

Science

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

24%

$83.4k Vol.

$10.0k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

SpaceX

Elon Musk

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

6%

$1.7k Vol.

$1.5k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX

Science

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

94%

SpaceX

$296 Vol.

$947 Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years