SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
$602,781 Vol.
January 31
$189,773 Vol.
<1%
January 31
$189,773 Vol.
<1%
February 28
$8,622 Vol.
2%
February 28
$8,622 Vol.
2%
March 31
$15,570 Vol.
52%
March 31
$15,570 Vol.
52%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
$14,747 Vol.
22%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
$14,747 Vol.
22%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
$47,287 Vol.
54%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
$47,287 Vol.
54%
Successful splash down?
$24,986 Vol.
63%
Successful splash down?
$24,986 Vol.
63%
Rules
If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Created At: Oct 17, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$602,781End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Oct 17, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
$602,781 Vol.
January 31
$189,773 Vol.
<1%
February 28
$8,622 Vol.
2%
March 31
$15,570 Vol.
52%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
$14,747 Vol.
22%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
$47,287 Vol.
54%
Successful splash down?
$24,986 Vol.
63%
About
Volume
$602,781End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Oct 17, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
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