Fed rate cut by...?
$613,425 Vol.
Mar 18, 2026
January Meeting
$546,675 Vol.
<1%
January Meeting
$546,675 Vol.
<1%
March Meeting
$19,822 Vol.
18%
March Meeting
$19,822 Vol.
18%
April Meeting
$31,754 Vol.
32%
April Meeting
$31,754 Vol.
32%
June Meeting
$15,174 Vol.
73%
June Meeting
$15,174 Vol.
73%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for March 2026, currently scheduled for March 17-18. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no March meeting takes place by April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no March meeting takes place by April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Dec 16, 2025, 2:26 PM ET
Volume
$613,425End Date
Jun 17, 2026Created At
Dec 16, 2025, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Fed rate cut by...?
$613,425 Vol.
January Meeting
$546,675 Vol.
<1%
March Meeting
$19,822 Vol.
18%
April Meeting
$31,754 Vol.
32%
June Meeting
$15,174 Vol.
73%
About
Volume
$613,425End Date
Jun 17, 2026Created At
Dec 16, 2025, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
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