Macro Indicators Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Economy

Economy

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026 card icon

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

1%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

1%

$568k Vol.

Bank of Brazil decision in January? card icon

Bank of Brazil decision in January?

No Change

80%

Cut

17%

No Change

80%

Cut

17%

$242k Vol.

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? card icon

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 5.5%

3%

↑ 5.25%

2%

↑ 5.5%

3%

↑ 5.25%

2%

$504k Vol.

January Inflation US - Annual (Lower Brackets) card icon

January Inflation US - Annual (Lower Brackets)

≤2.1%

4%

2.2%

4%

≤2.1%

4%

2.2%

4%

$196k Vol.

Monthly
US GDP growth in Q4 2025? card icon

US GDP growth in Q4 2025?

<1.0%

2%

1.0–1.5%

1%

<1.0%

2%

1.0–1.5%

1%

$272k Vol.

Monthly
Bank of Mexico decision in February? card icon

Bank of Mexico decision in February?

Decrease

9%

No change

91%

Decrease

9%

No change

91%

$52k Vol.

China Annual GDP Growth 2026 card icon

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

<1.0%

2%

1.0–2.0%

5%

<1.0%

2%

1.0–2.0%

5%

NEW

•

$14k Vol.

January Inflation US - Monthly card icon

January Inflation US - Monthly

≤0.1%

24%

0.2%

33%

≤0.1%

24%

0.2%

33%

$80k Vol.

Monthly
How many jobs added in January? card icon

How many jobs added in January?

<0

4%

0-25k

26%

<0

4%

0-25k

26%

$97k Vol.

Monthly
Price of Dozen Eggs in January card icon

Price of Dozen Eggs in January

<$2.50

37%

$2.50–2.75

54%

<$2.50

37%

$2.50–2.75

54%

$20k Vol.

Monthly
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026? card icon

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?

<3.5%

1%

3.5-4.0%

2%

<3.5%

1%

3.5-4.0%

2%

NEW

•

$12k Vol.

Monthly
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026 card icon

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

<2.6%

27%

2.6-2.9%

3%

<2.6%

27%

2.6-2.9%

3%

NEW

Negative GDP growth in 2025? card icon

Negative GDP growth in 2025?

1%

chance

$123k Vol.

Oct-Dec Unemployment Rate - U.K. card icon

Oct-Dec Unemployment Rate - U.K.

≤4.9%

33%

5.0%

38%

≤4.9%

33%

5.0%

38%

NEW

Daily
How high will inflation get in 2026? card icon

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 3%

27%

Above 4%

13%

Above 3%

27%

Above 4%

13%

$42k Vol.

January Inflation US - Annual card icon

January Inflation US - Annual

≤2.8%

93%

2.9%

2%

≤2.8%

93%

2.9%

2%

$23k Vol.

Monthly
January Unemployment Rate card icon

January Unemployment Rate

≤4.2%

6%

4.3%

21%

≤4.2%

6%

4.3%

21%

$30k Vol.

Monthly