Climate predictions & odds

·
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Climate

Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

7%

$20.8k Vol.

$23.0k Liq.

7

Ends in about 1 year

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Climate

Science

Natural Disaster in 2026?

47%

$88.3k Vol.

$15.9k Liq.

5

Ends in 11 months

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Climate

Science

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

40%

$216k Vol.

$4.6k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Climate

Weather

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

7%

$2.6k Vol.

$6.4k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Climate

Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

43%

$142k Vol.

$4.7k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

Climate

Weather

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

24%

14.4-14.6m sq km

$2.1k Vol.

$6.2k Liq.

2

Ends in 2 months

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Climate

Weather

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

39%

4.6-4.8m sq km

$750 Vol.

$4.9k Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months