Market icon

Which company has the #2 AI model end of January? (Style Control On)

xAI 97.7%

Mistral 1.1%

Google <1%

DeepSeek <1%

$117,127 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$117,127
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Which company has the #2 AI model end of January? (Style Control On)

xAI 97.7%

Mistral 1.1%

Google <1%

DeepSeek <1%

$117,127 Vol.

Market icon

xAI

$20,703 Vol.

98%

Market icon

Mistral

$7,604 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Google

$15,143 Vol.

1%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$8,885 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

OpenAI

$13,741 Vol.

<1%

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Alibaba

$8,387 Vol.

<1%

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Moonshot

$14,600 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Z.ai

$8,904 Vol.

<1%

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Anthropic

$9,841 Vol.

<1%

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Meituan

$9,317 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$117,127
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 5:50 PM ET

Beware of external links.