Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Name: Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
Start: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

NEW

Feb 28, 2026

25%+
$1 Vol.
56%

30%+
$0 Vol.
50%

40%+
$0 Vol.
31%

50%+
$0 Vol.
27%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$1 Vol.

25%+

$1 Vol.

56%

30%+

$0 Vol.

50%

40%+

$0 Vol.

31%

50%+

$0 Vol.

27%

About

Volume

End Date

Jun 30, 2026

Created At

Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Exam?

73%

Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?

51%

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

50%

Beware of external links.

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

25%+
$1 Vol.
56%

30%+
$0 Vol.
50%

40%+
$0 Vol.
31%

50%+
$0 Vol.
27%

Market Context