Sam Altman predictions & odds

·
GPT ads by...?

Sam Altman

Technology

GPT ads by...?

95%

March 31

$1m Vol.

$12.4k Liq.

183

Ends in about 2 months

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Sam Altman

SpaceX

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

88%

SpaceX

$26.6k Vol.

$86.9k Liq.

2

Ends in 11 months

GPT-5.3 released by...?

Sam Altman

AI

GPT-5.3 released by...?

88%

February 28

$94.9k Vol.

$5.8k Liq.

7

Ends in 25 days

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Sam Altman

SpaceX

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

74%

SpaceX

$3.1k Vol.

$2.0k Liq.

1

Ends in almost 2 years

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Sam Altman

Business

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

77%

$800B

$19.2k Vol.

$17.1k Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

GPT-6 released by…?

Sam Altman

AI

GPT-6 released by…?

83%

December 31, 2026

$262k Vol.

$21.7k Liq.

37

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

Sam Altman

Business

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

79%

Earbuds/Headphones

$22.2k Vol.

$11.9k Liq.

10

Ends in 11 months

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Sam Altman

Business

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

20%

$223k Vol.

$10.7k Liq.

7

Ends in 11 months

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Sam Altman

AI

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

53%

December 31, 2026

$103k Vol.

$6.9k Liq.

25

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Sam Altman

SpaceX

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

93%

SpaceX

$322 Vol.

$1.1k Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Sam Altman

Business

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

60%

Anthropic

$133 Vol.

$610 Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

Sam Altman

Crypto

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

21%

$13.8k Vol.

$3.0k Liq.

Ends in 11 months