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Next French Presidential Election

$430,118 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 33%

Édouard Philippe 18%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%

Marine Le Pen 9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$430,118
End Date
Apr 30, 2027
Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 10:47 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$430,118 Vol.

Market icon

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 33%

Édouard Philippe 18%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%

Marine Le Pen 9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Jordan Bardella

$12,497 Vol.

33%

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Édouard Philippe

$7,422 Vol.

18%

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Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$17,092 Vol.

10%

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Marine Le Pen

$9,188 Vol.

9%

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Sarah Knafo

$3,972 Vol.

8%

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Gabriel Attal

$6,081 Vol.

5%

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Bruno Retailleau

$6,081 Vol.

5%

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Dominique de Villepin

$8,748 Vol.

3%

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David Lisnard

$7,822 Vol.

3%

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Raphaël Glucksmann

$7,986 Vol.

3%

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François Ruffin

$8,261 Vol.

2%

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Juan Branco

$1,050 Vol.

1%

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Gérald Darmanin

$6,447 Vol.

1%

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François Hollande

$7,407 Vol.

1%

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Laurent Wauquiez

$5,804 Vol.

1%

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Olivier Faure

$10,302 Vol.

1%

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Éric Zemmour

$6,560 Vol.

1%

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François Bayrou

$6,993 Vol.

1%

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Bernard Cazeneuve

$7,318 Vol.

1%

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Xavier Bertrand

$18,308 Vol.

<1%

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Marine Tondelier

$6,836 Vol.

<1%

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Fabien Roussel

$7,843 Vol.

<1%

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François Asselineau

$65,598 Vol.

<1%

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Manuel Bompard

$12,703 Vol.

<1%

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Clémentine Autain

$15,882 Vol.

<1%

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Mathilde Panot

$13,392 Vol.

<1%

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Jean Castex

$19,231 Vol.

<1%

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Carole Delga

$49,346 Vol.

<1%

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Michel Barnier

$7,676 Vol.

<1%

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Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$19,664 Vol.

<1%

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Valérie Pécresse

$5,970 Vol.

<1%

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Élisabeth Borne

$8,344 Vol.

<1%

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Ségolène Royal

$26,452 Vol.

<1%

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Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5,841 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$430,118
End Date
Apr 30, 2027
Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 10:47 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.