Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
Lebanese Forces (LF) 49%
Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) 21%
Khatt Ahmar 16.0%
National Dialogue Party (NDP) 15.8%
$10,545 Vol.
$10,545 Vol.
Lebanese Forces (LF)
$1,156 Vol.
49%
Lebanese Forces (LF)
$1,156 Vol.
49%
Free Patriotic Movement (FPM)
$290 Vol.
21%
Free Patriotic Movement (FPM)
$290 Vol.
21%
Khatt Ahmar
$364 Vol.
16%
Khatt Ahmar
$364 Vol.
16%
National Dialogue Party (NDP)
$364 Vol.
16%
National Dialogue Party (NDP)
$364 Vol.
16%
Hezbollah (Hezb)
$990 Vol.
11%
Hezbollah (Hezb)
$990 Vol.
11%
Kataeb Party (Kataeb)
$231 Vol.
10%
Kataeb Party (Kataeb)
$231 Vol.
10%
Amal Movement (Amal)
$433 Vol.
6%
Amal Movement (Amal)
$433 Vol.
6%
Watani Alliance (Watani)
$409 Vol.
3%
Watani Alliance (Watani)
$409 Vol.
3%
Taqaddom Party
$432 Vol.
3%
Taqaddom Party
$432 Vol.
3%
Progressive Socialist Party (PSP)
$375 Vol.
1%
Progressive Socialist Party (PSP)
$375 Vol.
1%
Independence Movement (IM)
$364 Vol.
1%
Independence Movement (IM)
$364 Vol.
1%
Lana – Social Democratic Party (Lana)
$371 Vol.
1%
Lana – Social Democratic Party (Lana)
$371 Vol.
1%
Islamic Group (IG)
$430 Vol.
1%
Islamic Group (IG)
$430 Vol.
1%
Popular Nasserist Organization (PNO)
$398 Vol.
1%
Popular Nasserist Organization (PNO)
$398 Vol.
1%
Mada Party (Mada)
$432 Vol.
1%
Mada Party (Mada)
$432 Vol.
1%
Marada Movement (MM)
$387 Vol.
<1%
Marada Movement (MM)
$387 Vol.
<1%
ReLebanon
$452 Vol.
<1%
ReLebanon
$452 Vol.
<1%
Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon (Ba'ath)
$449 Vol.
<1%
Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon (Ba'ath)
$449 Vol.
<1%
Islamic Charitable Projects Association (ICPA)
$368 Vol.
<1%
Islamic Charitable Projects Association (ICPA)
$368 Vol.
<1%
Dignity Movement (DM)
$501 Vol.
<1%
Dignity Movement (DM)
$501 Vol.
<1%
Armenian Revolutionary Federation (ARF)
$382 Vol.
<1%
Armenian Revolutionary Federation (ARF)
$382 Vol.
<1%
Union Party (UP)
$418 Vol.
<1%
Union Party (UP)
$418 Vol.
<1%
National Liberal Party (NLP)
$548 Vol.
<1%
National Liberal Party (NLP)
$548 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Created At: Jan 6, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
Lebanese Forces (LF) 49%
Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) 21%
Khatt Ahmar 16.0%
National Dialogue Party (NDP) 15.8%
$10,545 Vol.
$10,545 Vol.
Lebanese Forces (LF)
49%
Free Patriotic Movement (FPM)
21%
Khatt Ahmar
16%
National Dialogue Party (NDP)
16%
Hezbollah (Hezb)
11%
Kataeb Party (Kataeb)
10%
Amal Movement (Amal)
6%
Watani Alliance (Watani)
3%
Taqaddom Party
3%
Progressive Socialist Party (PSP)
1%
Independence Movement (IM)
1%
Lana – Social Democratic Party (Lana)
1%
Islamic Group (IG)
1%
Popular Nasserist Organization (PNO)
1%
Mada Party (Mada)
1%
Marada Movement (MM)
<1%
ReLebanon
<1%
Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon (Ba'ath)
<1%
Islamic Charitable Projects Association (ICPA)
<1%
Dignity Movement (DM)
<1%
Armenian Revolutionary Federation (ARF)
<1%
Union Party (UP)
<1%
National Liberal Party (NLP)
<1%
About
Resolver
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